Partial Identification of Economic Mobility: With an Application to the United States

Abstract

The economic mobility of individuals and households is of fundamental interest. While many measures of economic mobility exist, reliance on transition matrices remains pervasive due to simplicity and ease of interpretation. However, estimation of transition matrices is complicated by the well-acknowledged problem of measurement error in self-reported and even administrative data. Existing methods of addressing measurement error are complex, rely on numerous strong assumptions, and often require data from more than two periods. In this article, we investigate what can be learned about economic mobility as measured via transition matrices while formally accounting for measurement error in a reasonably transparent manner. To do so, we develop a nonparametric partial identification approach to bound transition probabilities under various assumptions on the measurement error and mobility processes. This approach is applied to panel data from the United States to explore short-run mobility before and after the Great Recession.     

WTO对中国电视业的影响及对策

中国加入 WTO后信息技术产业、电信业和电影业的进一步开放 ,对中国电视传播业发展的影响和冲击将会越来越大 ,同时 WTO将给中国电视传播业在广告市场的份额、媒体经营成本和媒体结构的调整等方面带来较大的发展机遇。WTO将开辟一条中国电视传播业走向世界最便捷的通道。面对 WTO的挑战 ,中国电视传播业要在观念更新、体制创新、调整改革战略、培养人才诸方面做好进一步的深化改革 ,加速中国电视业体制的改造与整合 ,促进中国电视传播业的有序竞争和发展     

人的视觉心理艺术浅析

本文就人的视觉在对事物的色彩、形式、形状、光和影等诸方面,所产生的心理艺术影响作了剖析。并论述了视觉心理在电影、绘画等艺术创作中的重要性。从而激励人们更好地关注和创作美的作品。     

回到架上——兼论绘画与其他视觉传媒的相互转译

就当下艺术现状,尤其是架上艺术危机的分析,展开对绘画思想性的深刻思索,并通过对绘画与现代视觉传播媒介相互转译实验探讨,求取两者的不同所在,进而反映笔者对艺术现状的感知焦虑,以期在艺术的纯粹思维与纯粹摹写之间划定一个合理的空间,亦即确立纯艺术领域,用以对抗艺术消亡论观点.     

Projective Identification as a Contributor to Domestic Violence

Many explanations have been given as to why men batter. Rarely are deep unconscious intrapsychic processes identified as contributing reasons. One way that violent men may use their partner to fill emotional needs is through the primitive defense of projective identification. Projective identification may be invoked by men to induce the other partner to carry split off threatening parts of the self that are too anxiety provoking to retain. The occurrence of projective identification could therefore be an important intrapsychic and interpersonal dynamic that contributes to the escalation of tension prior to the violent episode.     

凯瑟琳爱情悲剧动因解析

凯瑟琳是《呼啸山庄》的女主角,凯瑟琳的爱是灵魂与肉体相脱离的情爱,充满不可调和的矛盾与冲突。她对希克厉的爱是精神之爱、灵魂之爱、自恋之爱,而对林敦的爱是肉体之爱、物化之爱、补偿之爱。凯瑟琳接受并爱着两个性格迥异的痴心汉,其对情爱的贪欲超过其心理承受的载荷,令其心理冲突绵延不辍。在两极爱欲的矛盾悖谬中,她忍受着精神的自我摧残,不只酿就了爱情悲剧,而且最终招致肉体的过早销亡。     

Estimation of Metabolic Rate Constants in PBPK‐Models from Liver Slice Experiments: What Are the Experimental Needs?

A mechanistic model is presented describing the clearance of a compound in a precision-cut liver slice that is incubated in a culture medium. The problem of estimating metabolic rate constants in PBPK models from liver slice experiments is discussed using identifiability analysis. From the identifiability problem analysis, it appears that in addition to the clearance, the compound's free fraction in the slice and the diffusion rate of the exchange of the compound between culture medium and liver slice should be identified. In addition, knowledge of the culture medium volume, the slice volume, the compound's free fraction, and octanol-water-based partition between medium and slice is presupposed. The formal solution for identification is discussed from the perspective of experimental practice. A formally necessary condition for identification is the sampling of parent compound in liver slice or culture medium. However, due to experimental limitations and errors, sampling the parent compound in the slice together with additional sampling of metabolite pooled from the medium and the slice is required for identification in practice. Moreover, it appears that identification results are unreliable when the value of the intrinsic clearance exceeds the value of the diffusion coefficient, a condition to be verified a posteriori.     

广告文案的叙事视角

广告传播同文学、新闻等学科领域一样都存在“叙事”问题 ,广告文案中主要有第一人称视角、第二人称视角和第三人称视角等类型。第一人称视角叙述广告内容真实感强 ,对消费者具有强大的驱动力和感染力。第三人称视角不受视域限制能为消费者提供丰富的广告信息。因此 ,情感诉求广告适合选择第一人称视角 ,理性诉求广告可考虑第三人称视角。     

定期租船合同下承运人识别问题研究

在海上货物运输中，以定期租船运输货物时，无论是船东，还是承租人都可能成为承运人。如何确定海上货物运输合同责任主体是海事审判实践中亟待解决的一个理论和实际问题。该文系统分析了定期租船合同下承运人识别问题产生的渊源、承运人识别的依据及其方法，在此基础上作者提出了解决定期租船合同下承运人识别问题的初步建议。     

无限传递尽在秋波--试论中外影视对眼睛和眼神的处理

本文通过对中外影视名片中眼睛、眼神的分析,阐述其在影视艺术中所起的重要作用.观众在鉴赏影视作品时,要善于把握银幕上种种无声语言及各种细节,这对吸取艺术精华,获得审美愉悦有着极为显著的意义.