Socio-Economic Indicators for Performance Evaluation and Quality Assessment: Statistical Methods and Applications

Social Indicators Research -     

The indicator formalism in spatial statistics

In this paper the indicator approach in spatial data analysis is presented for the determination of probability distributions to characterize the uncertainty about any unknown value. Such an analysis is non-parametric and is done independently of the estimate retained. These distributions are given through a series of quantile estimates and are not related to any particular prior model or shape. Moreover, determination of these distributions accounts for the data configuration and data values. An application is discussed. Moreover, some properties related to the Gaussian model are presented.     

A Multilevel Multinomial Model for the Dynamics of Graduates Employment in Italy

Social Indicators Research - Several studies have demonstrated that skilled human capital is a key resource for the economic growth of a territory, since it helps to increase productivity,...     

Characteristics of some classes of space–time covariance functions

Although a wide list of classes of space–time covariance functions is now available, selecting an appropriate class of models for a variable under study is still difficult and it represents a priority problem with respect to the choice of a particular model of a specified class. Then, knowing the characteristics of various classes of covariances, and their auxiliary functions, and matching those with the characteristics of the empirical space–time covariance surface might be helpful in the selection of a suitable class. In this paper some characteristics, such as behavior at the origin, asymptotic behavior, nonseparability and anisotropy aspects, are studied for some well known classes of covariance models of stationary space–time random fields. Moreover, some important issues related to modeling choices are described and a case study is presented.     

Positive and negative non-separability for space–time covariance models

Separable spatio-temporal covariance models, defined as the product of purely spatial and purely temporal covariance functions, are often used in practice, but frequently they only represent a convenient assumption. On the other hand, non-separable models are receiving a lot of attention, since they are more flexible to handle empirical covariances showed up in applications. Different forms of non-separability for space–time covariance functions have been recently defined in the literature. In this paper, the notion of positive and negative non-separability is further formalized in order to distinguish between pointwise and uniform non-separability. Various well-known non-separable space–time stationary covariance models are analyzed and classified by using the new definition of non-separability. In particular, wide classes of non-separable spatio-temporal covariance functions, able to capture positive and negative non-separability, are proposed and some examples of these classes are given. General results concerning the non-separability of spatial–temporal covariance functions obtained by a linear combination of spatial–temporal covariance functions and some stability properties are also presented. These results can be helpful to generate as well as to select appropriate covariance models for describing space–time data.     

Strict Positive Definiteness of a Product of Covariance Functions

Positive definiteness represents an admissibility condition for a function to be a covariance. Nevertheless, the more restricted condition of strict positive definiteness has received attention in literature, especially in spatial statistics, since it ensures that the kriging system has a unique solution. Most known covariance functions are isotropic but there are applications where isotropy is not appropriate, e.g., space-time covariance functions. One way to construct non-isotropic covariance functions is to use a product or a product-sum. In this article, it is given a necessary as well as a sufficient condition for a product of two covariance functions to be strictly positive definite. This result is extended to the well-known product-sum covariance model.     

Prediction of particle pollution through spatio-temporal multivariate geostatistical analysis: spatial special issue

Vehicular traffic, industrial activity and street dust are important sources of atmospheric particles, which cause pollution and serious health problems, including respiratory illness. Hence, techniques for analyzing and modeling the spatio-temporal behavior of particulate matter (PM), in the recent statistical literature, represent an essential support for environmental and human health protection. In this paper, air pollution from particles with diameters smaller than 10  ${\rm \mu}$ m and related meteorological variables, such as temperature and wind speed, measured during November 2009 in the south of Apulian region (Lecce, Brindisi, and Taranto districts) are studied. A thorough multivariate geostatistical analysis is proposed, where different tools for testing the symmetry assumption of the spatio-temporal linear coregionalization model (ST-LCM) are considered, as well as a recent fitting procedure of the ST-LCM, based on the simultaneous diagonalization of symmetric real-valued matrix variograms, is adopted and two non-separable classes of variogram models, the product–sum and Gneiting classes, are fitted to the basic components. The most significant aspects of this study are (a) the quantitative assessment of the assumption of symmetry of the ST-LCM, (b) the use of different non-separable spatio-temporal models for fitting the basic components of a ST-LCM and, more importantly, (c) the application of the spatio-temporal multivariate geostatistical analysis to predict particle pollution in one of the most polluted geographical area. Prediction maps for particle pollution levels with the corresponding validation results are given.