城市大气中污染物扩散的施密特数研究

借助反问题方法对风洞实验工况选取不同施密特数进行数值模拟试验,分析比较了不同施密特数时街道峡谷内各个观测点的数值模拟数据和风洞实验数据.研究结果表明,城市街道内大气污染物扩散的施密特数为0.7～0.8.     

夹持条件对铝钢薄板CMT点焊变形的影响

夹持条件对焊接变形存在着突出影响，为了获得变形较小的焊接件，改善焊接质量，课题组利用CMT技术对异种金属铝钢薄板搭接进行点焊试验，测出焊后板件变形；然后，在相同工艺下对铝钢薄板试样的点焊进行有限元仿真，得到样件的变形规律，并与试验测量数据进行对比，验证了焊接仿真的可靠性；最后，采用响应面法建立夹持点位置、搭接宽度与焊接变形的数学模型。研究结果表明：随着搭接宽度或者夹持点位置的改变，焊接变形均呈现出由小到大的变化规律；不同搭接宽度下均存在最佳的夹持点位置使得焊接变形最小；当夹持点位置处于40~63 mm、搭接宽度在30~53 mm范围时，焊接件的变形量较小。     

Overwintering ecology of two social halictine bees,Lasioglossum duplex andL. problematicum

Summary Overwintering of two social halictine bees,Lasioglossum duplex (Dalla Torre) andL. problematicum (Blüthgen), was studied. InL. duplex many females stay near the old nests, each female preparing a hibernaculum separated from the natal nest. InL. problematicum most females overwinter communally within the natal nest. This difference in overwintering habits relates to the social structure in the next spring.L. duplex is nearly always solitary in spring although later becoming eusocial, whereas many nests ofL. problematicum are polygynous, beginning in early spring.L. duplex overwinters much deeper ( ) in the soil than doesL. problematicum ( ), but both species are safe from drops in soil temperature, which is above 0°C even in midwinter, and the bees' supercooling points are lower than −6°C. This cold resistance and the storage of sufficient food in the crop are reflected in the winter survival, which is much higher (79%) than the rate of successful nests in the spring active phase (25%). Bionomics of the eusocial halictine beeLasioglossum duplex VII. Contribution No. 2654 from the Inst. Low Temp. Sci.     

Life tables for worker honeybees

Summary Life tables for worker honeybees covering all life span, and those for adults, were prepared for three seasonal cohorts,June bees, July bees andwintering bees. Survivorship curves forJune andJuly bees show a convex type being exceptional for insects, with relatively high mortality at egg and feeding larval stages and at later adult stage after most bees became potential foragers. Adult longevity greatly lengthens inWinteriing bees and survivorship curve drops approximately with the same rate. A remarkable similarity of survivorship curves for men and honeybees was demonstrated, apparently due to highly developed social care in both. Some comments were given on mortality factors. The importance of life tables for population researches was shown by applying our result to the population growth curve made byBodenheimer, based upon the data byNolan. At the asymptote of the uncorrected curve, the ratio of total population estimated by uncorrected curve to that by corrected curve reaches about 3∶2. Contribution No. 821 from the Zoological Institute, Faculty of Science, Hokkaido University, Sapporo, Japan. Contributions from JIBP-PT No. 45. This study was in part supportod by a grant in aid from the Ministry of Education for the special project research, “Studies on the dynamic status of biosphere.” Population and bioeconomic studies on the honeybee colonies. II. We express our sincere thanks to Dr. YosiakiIt?, National Institute of Agricultural Sciences, Tokyo, for his kind stimulation and advices to the present work.     

A Recursive Formula for the Probability of Occurrence of at Least m out of N Events

A recursive same-sign relation is derived that reduces the probability of occurrence of at least m out of N independent events to the probability of occurrence of at least m out of N ? 1 of these N events.     

The Performance of Robust Two-Stage Estimator in Nonlinear Regression with Autocorrelated Error

Some statistics practitioners often ignore the underlying assumptions when analyzing a real data and employ the Nonlinear Least Squares (NLLS) method to estimate the parameters of a nonlinear model. In order to make reliable inferences about the parameters of a model, require that the underlying assumptions, especially the assumption that the errors are independent, are satisfied. However, in a real situation, we may encounter dependent error terms which prone to produce autocorrelated errors. A two-stage estimator (CTS) has been developed to remedy this problem. Nevertheless, it is now evident that the presence of outliers have an unduly effect on the least squares estimates. We expect that the CTS is also easily affected by outliers since it is based on the least squares estimator, which is not robust. In this article, we propose a Robust Two-Stage (RTS) procedure for the estimation of the nonlinear regression parameters in the situation where autocorrelated errors come together with the existence of outliers. The numerical example and simulation study signify that the RTS is more efficient than the NLLS and the CTS methods.     

重庆市高校学生作业现状调查

通过对 3 2 66份问卷调查的统计分析 ,发现重庆市大学生作业情况不尽如人意 ,47 9%的人不能认真完成作业 ,既按时又认真完成作业的人只有 43 2 % ;不同性别、不同专业、不同学制、不同类型的学校和不同年级完成的作业情况都有差异     

全球化背景下的制造业生产调度体系探讨

面对客户随机需求,制造业生产调度系统应促进生产的快速性、动态性和敏捷性。论文以制造业生产调度体系为研究对象,从生产车间调度的目标、方法、手段、资源等基本要素入手,总结了传统生产调度系统在实际生产中的问题。并概括了系统集成视角下的生产调度方法及其改进措施,介绍了不确定条件下生产调度策略及评价指标。运用系统集成的思想,探讨了供需链环境下的制造业生产调度系统模式,最终提出了生产调度系统的集成化、动态化、高效智能化、柔性化和排程可视化等发展方向。     

The use of conditional cutoffs in a forward selection procedure

Using a forward selection procedure for selecting the best subset of regression variables involves the calculation of critical values (cutoffs) for an F-ratio at each step of a multistep search process. On dropping the restrictive (unrealistic) assumptions used in previous works, the null distribution of the F-ratio depends on unknown regression parameters for the variables already included in the subset. For the case of known σ, by conditioning the F-ratio on the set of regressors included so far and also on the observed (estimated) values of their regression coefficients, we obtain a forward selection procedure whose stepwise type I error does not depend on the unknown (nuisance) parameters. A numerical example with an orthogonal design matrix illustrates the difference between conditional cutoffs, cutoffs for the centralF-distribution, and cutoffs suggested by Pope and Webster.