脊波导宽频带电磁参数测试技术

针对高损耗介质材料电磁参数的宽频带测试问题,提出了利用脊波导进行测试的新方法,建立了电磁参数测试系统,并采用TRL技术进行了系统校准。该方法仅用3个波段的脊波导即可覆盖2.0～18.0GHz宽频带范围内的电磁参数测试,具有频带宽、体积小、测试精确度高等优点。     

The potential of integrated modelling in conservation biology: A case study of the black‐footed albatross (Phoebastria nigripes)

Conservation biology aims at assessing the status of a population, based on information which is often incomplete. Integrated population modelling based on state‐space models appears to be a powerful and relevant way of combining into a single likelihood several types of information such as capture‐recapture data and population surveys. In this paper, the authors describe the principles of integrated population modelling and they evaluate its performance for conservation biology based on a case study, that of the black‐footed albatross, a northern Pacific albatross species suspected to be impacted by longline fishing     

基于时变参数的中国总量生产函数估计

总量生产函数是宏观经济增长分析和技术进步定量化测算的基础,传统方法估算总量生产函数具有很多不足之处。利用1952—2005年中国宏观经济数据,建立时变参数模型,应用卡尔曼滤波算法,对我国1952—2005年间历年的总量生产函数进行了估算。研究结果表明:利用时变参数估算生产函数较好地捕捉到了经济政策的重大事件对于总量生产函数的影响,可能是理论与实际情况更加接近的一种拟合。我国技术进步和资本、劳动的产出弹性三者相互影响,呈同方向变化,并且技术进步对资本的产出弹性影响较大,对劳动的产出弹性影响较小,1978—2005年间我国属于节约资本型技术进步。     

悬置线交指型带通滤波器设计

介绍了悬置线交指型带通滤波器的设计原理和方法,利用计算机辅助设计工具进行数值计算,给出了悬置线的电路板尺寸参数,并应用仿真软件对该悬置线交指型带通滤波器进行仿真和优化设计, 通过仿真得到了该滤波器的响应曲线,与实验结果吻合的较好。     

HEAVY-TAILED-DISTRIBUTED THRESHOLD STOCHASTIC VOLATILITY MODELS IN FINANCIAL TIME SERIES

To capture mean and variance asymmetries and time‐varying volatility in financial time series, we generalize the threshold stochastic volatility (THSV) model and incorporate a heavy‐tailed error distribution. Unlike existing stochastic volatility models, this model simultaneously accounts for uncertainty in the unobserved threshold value and in the time‐delay parameter. Self‐exciting and exogenous threshold variables are considered to investigate the impact of a number of market news variables on volatility changes. Adopting a Bayesian approach, we use Markov chain Monte Carlo methods to estimate all unknown parameters and latent variables. A simulation experiment demonstrates good estimation performance for reasonable sample sizes. In a study of two international financial market indices, we consider two variants of the generalized THSV model, with US market news as the threshold variable. Finally, we compare models using Bayesian forecasting in a value‐at‐risk (VaR) study. The results show that our proposed model can generate more accurate VaR forecasts than can standard models.     

网络安全与防火墙技术

防火墙是网络安全的关键技术 ,其核心思想是在不安全的网络环境中构造一个相对安全的子网环境。本文讨论了实现防火墙的主要技术手段 ,重点阐述了现行防火墙的功能、类型、安全措施以及防火墙技术的发展     

BNT系纳米粉体的制备及微波特性研究

使用柠檬酸盐法成功制备出分散良好的颗粒状BNT系纳米粉体。经TEM和XRD分析,粉体的平均粒径约30 nm,其主晶相为Nd2Ti2O7,经1 300℃烧结成瓷后还出现了BaNd2Ti4O12相。此类材料具有良好的高频特性,用此类材料研制出的单片微波陶瓷电容器具有良好的微波特性。     

Missing data and forecasting in multivariate time series: An application of the common components dynamic linear model

Summary The paper deals with missing data and forecasting problems in multivariate time series making use of the Common Components Dynamic Linear Model (DLMCC), presented in Quintana (1985), and West and Harrison (1989). Some results are presented and discussed: exploiting the correlation between series, estimated by the DLMCC, the paper shows as it is possible to update state vector posterior distributions for the unobserved series. This is realized on the base of the updating of the observed series state vectors, for which the usual Kalman filter equations can be applied. An application concerning some Italian private consumption series provides an example of the model capabilities.     

国产梁式引线器件平面集成混频器

介绍鳍线单平衡混频器电路的设计。混频器使用国产梁式引线混频二极管。混频器在31～37GHz的频率范围内,变频损耗小于10dB,最小值为7.2dB。     

基于EMD的非线性信号自适应分析

根据EMD分解原理,提出通过选择平均包络中的突变点确定自适应滤波器截止分量阶,以此构造时空滤波器组进行非线性信号自适应分析的方法,成功应用于分析波音737飞机涡轮轴振动信号。从噪声中自适应地提取随转速变化的信号分量和低频振动分量,与小波分析方法相比,在轴向位移检测中取得了更为满意的效果。该方法不仅改进了涡轮轴振动信号分析方法,也适用于解决其他非线性信号的分析问题。