| 基于马尔可夫链的中国与东盟五国农产品比较优势预测 |
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| 引用本文： | 王文中,庄丽娟,周文良.基于马尔可夫链的中国与东盟五国农产品比较优势预测[J].南昌航空大学学报,2008,10(3):38-44. |
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| 作者姓名： | 王文中 庄丽娟 周文良 |
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| 作者单位： | 华南农业大学 |
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| 基金项目： | 广东省哲学社会科学规划项目，广东省普通高校人文社科重点研究基地重点项目，华南农业大学校长基金项目 |
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| 摘 要： | 比较优势的变化是决定国际贸易变动的关键因素。本文构建了基于马尔可夫链的比较优势预测模型，预测了我国和东盟农产品比较优势的变化趋势，对提高我国农产品比较优势地位的措施进行了有益探索。
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| 关 键 词： | 中国 东盟 马尔可夫链 农产品 |
Markov Chain Based for Predicting the Comparative Advantages of Farm Produce in China and Five Countries of ASEAN |
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| WANG Wen-zhong,ZHUANG Li-juan,ZHOU Wen-liang The College of Economics and Management,.Markov Chain Based for Predicting the Comparative Advantages of Farm Produce in China and Five Countries of ASEAN[J].Journal of Nanchang Institute of Aeronautical Technology(Social Science),2008,10(3):38-44. |
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| Authors: | WANG Wen-zhong ZHUANG Li-juan ZHOU Wen-liang The College of Economics and Management |
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| Institution: | The College of Economics and Management, (The South China Agriculture University, Guangzhou, Guangdong 510000, China) |
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| Abstract: | The change of Comparative Advantage is one of key factors to lead to the change of international trade. In this paper, a forecast model for Comparative Advantage based on Markov chain is proposed. It predicted the change trend on Comparative Advantage of farm produce in China and ASEAN. The measures to promote the status of Comparative Advantage of China's farm produce are explored valuably. |
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| Keywords: | China ASEAN Markov Chain Farm Produce |
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