大学生职业生涯选择的关键时点研究——基于本科生成绩和行为的实证分析

以北京邮电大学学生数据为基础,以大学生各个学期的学习成绩作为其人力资本的衡量指标,探索大学生学习成绩对其职业生涯关键时点选择的影响。研究发现,选择不同毕业去向的学生的各个学期学习成绩不仅均存在显著的差异,而且通过学习成绩,可较为准确地预测出其大四毕业时职业生涯起点的选择——继续深造还是工作。与此同时第二学期的学习成绩的预测正确率最高,也表明了大学生第二学期的学习成绩在其整个学习过程和毕业去向的选择中有着显著的指导性作用,是大学生职业生涯选择的关键时点。文中还进一步分析了这一影响发生的机制及其对高校就业指导工作的启示,即应从第二学期开始,从大学生的学习成绩进行切入,对当代大学生进行有针对性的职业生涯规划和就业指导教育。

Key Time of University Students’ Career Choice---Empirical Analysis Based on Undergraduates ’ Grades and Behavior

Based on student data from Beijing University of Posts and Telecommunications , regarding college students ’ grades in each semester as a measure of human capital , the impact of their college grades on their ca-reer key point choice is explored.It turns out that not only do significant differences of their grades in each se-mester among students who make different choices when graduating from university exist , but also the grades can accurately predict their career choice.Meanwhile , the second semester grades has the highest predictive rate , which shows the second semester ’ grade plays a significant role in guiding undergraduates ’ whole learning process and graduation , and thus it is the key time point in career choice.The mechanism of this effect and its implication for college career guidance is further analyzed , that is, career planning and career guidance educa-tion should begin in the second semester.