Multivariate analysis of parity progression—based measures of the total fertility rate and its components |
| |
Authors: | Robert Retherford Naohiro Ogawa Rikiya Matsukura Hassan Eini-Zinab |
| |
Institution: | (1) The Avraham Harman Institute of Contemporary Jewry, The Hebrew University of Jerusalem, Jerusalem, Israel;(2) The Jewish People Policy Planning Institute, Jerusalem, Israel |
| |
Abstract: | This article describes a methodology for applying a discrete-time survival model—the complementary log-log model—to estimate
effects of socioeconomic variables on (1) the total fertility rate and its components and (2) trends in the total fertility
rate and its components. For the methodology to be applicable, the total fertility rate (TFR) must be calculated from parity
progression ratios (PPRs). The components of the TFR are PPRs, the total marital fertility rate (TMFR), and the TFR itself
as measures of the quantum of fertility, and mean and median ages at first marriage and mean and median closed birth intervals
by birth order as measures of the tempo or timing of fertility. The focus is on effects of predictor variables on these measures
rather than on coefficients, which are often difficult to interpret in the complex models that are considered. The methodology
is applicable to both period and cohort data. It is illustrated by application to data from the 1993, 1998, and 2003 Demographic
and Health Surveys (DHS) in the Philippines. |
| |
Keywords: | |
本文献已被 SpringerLink 等数据库收录! |
|