用科学发展观看待甘肃省的经济增长

本文借鉴丹尼森因素分析法对索洛余值进行分解,从中分离出人力资本积累、资源配置结构、规模经济效益和狭义的技术进步对经济增长的影响,在此基础上构建了经济增长模型,测算了1978-2005年甘肃省各因素对经济增长的贡献率。结果表明:甘肃省的经济增长主要表现为粗放的外延型增长,而且要素投入增加与经济增长之间还没有形成良性互动关系,1978-2005年,经济增长主要依靠投入(52.04%),其中,资本投入对经济增长的贡献率为37.70%,劳动力投入的贡献率为14.34%。虽然广义的技术进步贡献率达到47.96%,但狭义的技术进步的贡献率仅为15.65%,资源配置结构的调整及人力资本水平的不断提高对经济增长产生了明显的正效应。因此,加快经济增长方式转变,确实落实科学发展观,使经济增长真正依靠技术进步和人力资本的积累,仍然是我们面临的最迫切的任务。

Treating the Economic Growth of Gansu in a View of Scientific Development

In order to measure the contribution ratio of economic growth factors more accurately,the article separates human capital,allocation structure of resources and scale economy from the "Solow's residue" referring to Denison's method of economic growth factors analysis,and discusses the economic growth(1978-2005) of Gansu using a model of economy growth based on the decomposition of the "Solow's residue".The results suggest that economy growth is pushed forward mainly by the increase of input and technology progress in narrow sense contributes to 15.65% of the economy growth.So it is the most urgent task to accelerate the transformation of economy growth and make the view of scientific development work in practice so that economic growth can truly rely on the technology progress and the cumulative of human capital.