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A regression-based smoothing spline Monte Carlo algorithm for pricing American options in discrete time
Authors:Michael Kohler
Institution:(1) Department of Mathematics, Darmstadt University of Technology, Schlossgartenstr. 7, 64289 Darmstadt, Germany
Abstract:American options in discrete time can be priced by solving optimal stopping problems. This can be done by computing so-called continuation values, which we represent as regression functions defined recursively by using the continuation values of the next time step. We use Monte Carlo to generate data, and then we apply smoothing spline regression estimates to estimate the continuation values from these data. All parameters of the estimate are chosen data dependent. We present results concerning consistency and the estimates’ rate of convergence.
Keywords:American options  Consistency  Nonparametric regression  Optimal stopping  Rate of convergence  Regression based Monte Carlo methods  Smoothing spline
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