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预测的哲学思考
引用本文:刘文财,刘豹,张维,王凤平. 预测的哲学思考[J]. 天津大学学报(社会科学版), 2001, 3(1): 37-41
作者姓名:刘文财  刘豹  张维  王凤平
作者单位:1. 天津大学 管理学院,
2. 莱芜职业技术学院 财经系,
基金项目:国家自然科学基金资助项目(79970038)。
摘    要:通过对预测的历史评述,提出了预测的本质是人类对自然的无知与征服自然欲望的矛盾的外现。它是先于科学发展的,是科学发展的推进器和助产婆,但又受科学发展水平的影响与制约。指出了预测研究的对象是非平衡开放系统,基于Internet智能化预测支持系统是预测研究的重要发展方向。

关 键 词:预测;Internet;智能化;预测支持系统
文章编号:1008-4339(2001)01-0037-05
修稿时间:2000-09-27

A PHILOSOPHIC THINKING ON THE FORECASTING
LIU Wen-cai,LIU Bao,ZHANG Wei,WANG Feng-ping. A PHILOSOPHIC THINKING ON THE FORECASTING[J]. Journal of Tianjin University(Social Sciences), 2001, 3(1): 37-41
Authors:LIU Wen-cai  LIU Bao  ZHANG Wei  WANG Feng-ping
Abstract:This paper presents a philosophic thinking on the forecasting.Based on the commentary on the history of forecasting,it gives the nature of the forecasting,that is,forecasting is the reflection of the contradiction between the ignorance of the nature and desire of human beings.While forecasting developed in advance of science is both a propeller and a midwife of science,it is also limited by the level of the science development.Then the paper also describes that the object of the forecasting is the non-balance,opening system,and points out that the intelligent forecasting support system is the main direction of the forecasting research.
Keywords:forecasting  internet  intelligent  forecasting support system
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