| Abstract: | Partial observation of a random walk results in independent convolutions of i.i.d. variables. It is known that under a scheme of sufficiently frequent observation, moments of the random walk can be consistently estimated. In these cases, probability generating functions (p.g.f.'s) can be used to circumvent the difficulties posed by likelihood estimation involving convolutions. Asymptotic properties of the p.g.f. estimates are given, and a comparison is made with the method-of-moments estimator, which is also shown to be asymptotically normal. In a parametric context, the p.g.f. estimator is shown to be asymptotically efficient. Monte Carlo experiments demonstrate that there are advantages to using the p.g.f.-based estimate in small samples as well. |
