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| 2010-2030年我国劳动力供求的预测和管理 | |
| 引用本文： | 刘钧,徐文娟. 2010-2030年我国劳动力供求的预测和管理[J]. 求是学刊, 2011, 38(4) |
| 作者姓名： | 刘钧 徐文娟 |
| 作者单位： | 1. 中央财经大学保险学院,北京,100081 2. 中国人民财产保险股份有限公司战略部,北京,100022 |
| 摘 要： | 文章以当前我国劳动力供给和需求的缺口为研究问题的出发点,运用创新性研究方法,对未来20年我国劳动力市场的供给和需求进行了大致的预测.经过测算,未来我国劳动力供求缺口达到10％以上的局面将会维持到2020年左右.针对这一状况,笔者认为,政府的主要职责是采取有效的管理措施,缓解劳动力供大于求的局面,扩大劳动力就业. |
| 关 键 词： | 劳动供给 劳动需求 就业弹性 |
Prediction and Administration of the Supply and Demand of Labor Force during 2010 to 2030 |
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| LIU Jun,XU Wen-juan. Prediction and Administration of the Supply and Demand of Labor Force during 2010 to 2030[J]. Seeking Truth, 2011, 38(4) | |
| Authors: | LIU Jun XU Wen-juan |
| Affiliation: | LIU Jun1,XU Wen-juan2(1.School of Insurance,Central University of Finance and Economics,Beijing,100081,2.Department of Strategy,People's Insurance Company of China,Beijing 100022,China) |
| Abstract: | This article begins with the discrepancy between the supply and demand of labor force in China and predicts the situation in the future 20 years roughly.Through estimation,the discrepancy over 10% will last until 2020 and the author believes that the main duty of the government should be to adopt effective administrative measures to reduce the surplus of supply in order to expand employment. |
| Keywords: | supply of labor force demand of labor force flexible employment |
| 本文献已被 CNKI 万方数据 等数据库收录！ | |