| 广东省区域物流与经济的协整关系研究 |
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| 引用本文： | 高秀丽,王爱虎.广东省区域物流与经济的协整关系研究[J].华南理工大学学报(社会科学版),2011,13(2):1-5. |
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| 作者姓名： | 高秀丽 王爱虎 |
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| 作者单位： | 1. 华南理工大学工商管理学院,广东广州510640;广东海洋大学经济管理学院,广东湛江524088
2. 华南理工大学工商管理学院,广东广州,510640 |
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| 基金项目： | 广东省软科学重点项目，东莞市政府招投标项目 |
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| 摘 要： | 根据1978—2009年的广东省年度数据对区域经济增长与物流发展水平之间的关系进行研究,选取代表区域物流发展水平的三个重要指标,对广东省经济增长与物流发展之间的关系进行协整检验和Granger因果关系检验,并建立向量误差修正模型以验证短期修正效应。结果表明广东省经济增长与物流发展之间存在长期协整关系,广东省经济增长对物流产业发展有一定的促进作用,而物流产业对经济增长的促进作用还不显著。
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| 关 键 词： | 经济增长 物流 协整 误差修正模型 |
Research on Co-integration Relationship between Regional Logistics and Economy in Guangdong Province |
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| Gao Xiuli,Wang Aihu.Research on Co-integration Relationship between Regional Logistics and Economy in Guangdong Province[J].Journal of South China University of Technology(Social Science Edition),2011,13(2):1-5. |
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| Authors: | Gao Xiuli Wang Aihu |
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| Institution: | 1(School of Business Administration,South China of University of Technology,Guangzhou 510640,Guangdong,China, School of Economic and Management,Guangdong Ocean University,Zhanjiang 524088,Guangdong,China) |
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| Abstract: | The relationship between regional logistics and regional economy in Guangdong is analyzed based on the annual data from 1978 to 2009.Three factors are chosen to represent the development status of regional logistics industry.Granger causality and co-integration tests are performed to investigate the long-term co-integration relationship between Guangdong Province’s economic growth and the development of corresponding logistics industry.Vector error correction model has been established to verify short-term revision effects.Research results indicate that there exists long-term co-integration relationship between Guangdong economic growth and logistics development.The economic growth has positive effect on the development of regional logistics industry,whereas the stimulating effect of the regional logistics industry on regional economic growth is not significant. |
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| Keywords: | regional logistics co-integration relationship error correction model |
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