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| 天津高等职业教育规模预测与发展策略研究 | |
| 引用本文： | 王全旺,周志刚,肖锋瑞.天津高等职业教育规模预测与发展策略研究[J].天津大学学报(社会科学版),2010,12(3):245-248. |
| 作者姓名： | 王全旺 周志刚 肖锋瑞 |
| 作者单位： | 1. 天津大学职业技术教育学院,天津,300072;大同大学教育科学与技术学院,大同,037009 2. 天津大学职业技术教育学院,天津,300072 3. 河北机电职业技术学院计算机信息工程系,邢台,054000 |
| 基金项目： | 天津市“十一五”重点资助项目(ZZG163) |
| 摘 要： | 在分析21世纪以来天津高等职业教育发展和理论推导的基础上，以灰色Verhulst模型作为预测模型，对历史数据进行了拟合，并对天津高等职业教育规模进行短期预测，分析其发展变化趋势，提出天津高等职业教育发展策略。 |
| 关 键 词： | 灰色Verhulst模型 高等职业教育 预测 发展策略 |
Scale Forecast and Development Strategy Research on Tianjin Higher Vocational Education |
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| WANG Quan-wang,ZHOU Zhi-gang,XIAO Fengrui.Scale Forecast and Development Strategy Research on Tianjin Higher Vocational Education[J].Journal of Tianjin University(Social Sciences),2010,12(3):245-248. | |
| Authors: | WANG Quan-wang ZHOU Zhi-gang XIAO Fengrui |
| Institution: | 1. School of Vocational and Technical Education, Tianjin University, Tianjin 300072, China; 2. School of Education Science and Technology, Datong University, Datong 037009, China; 3. Department of Computer, Hebei Institute of Electrical and Mechanical Technology, Xingtai 054000, China) |
| Abstract: | Based on theory derivation and analysis of Tianjin higher vocational education's development since the 21st century,this paper takes Grey Verhulst model as the forecast model,fits the historical data,and conducts a short-term forecast of Tianjin higher vocational education's scale,analyzes its development trends,and puts forward development strategy for Tianjin higher vocational education. |
| Keywords: | Grey Verhulst model higher vocational education forecast development strategy |
| 本文献已被 CNKI 维普 万方数据 等数据库收录！ | |