Abstract: | Suppose it is desired to obtain a large number Ns of items for which individual counting is impractical, but one can demand a batch to weigh at least w units so that the number of items N in the batch may be close to the desired number Ns. If the items have mean weight ωTH, it is reasonable to have w equal to ωTHNs when ωTH is known. When ωTH is unknown, one can take a sample of size n, not bigger than Ns, estimate ωTH by a good estimator ωn, and set w equal to ωnNs. Let Rn = Kp2N2s/n + Ksn be a measure of loss, where Ke and Ks are the coefficients representing the cost of the error in estimation and the cost of the sampling respectively, and p is the coefficient of variation for the weight of the items. If one determines the sample size to be the integer closest to pCNs when p is known, where C is (Ke/Ks)1/2, then Rn will be minimized. If p is unknown, a simple sequential procedure is proposed for which the average sample number is shown to be asymptotically equal to the optimal fixed sample size. When the weights are assumed to have a gamma distribution given ω and ω has a prior inverted gamma distribution, the optimal sample size can be found to be the nonnegative integer closest to pCNs + p2A(pC – 1), where A is a known constant given in the prior distribution. |