Uncertainty Analysis in Multiplicative Models |
| |
| Authors: | Wout Slob |
| |
| Affiliation: | National Institute of Public Health and Environmental Protection (RIVM), P.O. Box 1, 3720 BA Bilthoven, The Netherlands. |
| |
| Abstract: | ![]()
Uncertainties are usually evaluated by Monte Carlo analysis. However, multiplicative models with lognormal uncertainties, which are ubiquitous in risk assessments, allow for a simple and quick analytical uncertainty analysis. The necessary formulae are given, which may be evaluated by a desk calculator. Two examples illustrate the method. |
| |
| Keywords: | Risk assessment uncertainty analysis multiplicative model lognormal distribution Monte Carlo analysis |
|
|
