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Robust portfolio planning in the presence of market anomalies
Authors:Cemal Berk Ogˇuzsoy,Sibel Gü  ven
Affiliation:Department of Industrial Engineering, Middle East Technical University, 06531 Ankara, Turkey
Abstract:
In this study, a short-term portfolio modeling formulation is developed using existing anomalies as a single determinant for daily Istanbul Stock Exchange National 100 Composite Index (ISE) and US dollars (USD) returns in a Robust optimization (RO) framework. Using anomalies in planning within an RO framework establishes a balance between risk seeking and risk averse behaviors, as generating profit from anomalies is risky and RO enables to settle down the extreme risk seeking behavior. Applications of the model using various data sets result in real profit generation such that terminal wealth figures increase considerably more than Wholesale Price Index (WPI). This study demonstrates that RO is a viable approach to make use of anomaly information for short-term profits.
Keywords:Portfolio selection   Risk   Robust optimization   Market anomalies   Stochastic programming
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