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Empirical Bayes regression analysis with many regressors but fewer observations
Authors:Muni S Srivastava  Tatsuya Kubokawa
Institution:1. Department of Statistics, University of Toronto, 100 St. George Street, Toronto, Ont., Canada M5S 3G3;2. Faculty of Economics, University of Tokyo, Hongo, Bunkyo-ku, Tokyo 113-0033, Japan
Abstract:In this paper, we consider the prediction problem in multiple linear regression model in which the number of predictor variables, p, is extremely large compared to the number of available observations, n  . The least-squares predictor based on a generalized inverse is not efficient. We propose six empirical Bayes estimators of the regression parameters. Three of them are shown to have uniformly lower prediction error than the least-squares predictors when the vector of regressor variables are assumed to be random with mean vector zero and the covariance matrix (1/n)XtX(1/n)XtX where Xt=(x1,…,xn)Xt=(x1,,xn) is the p×np×n matrix of observations on the regressor vector centered from their sample means. For other estimators, we use simulation to show its superiority over the least-squares predictor.
Keywords:primary 62C12  62J07  secondary 62F10  62C20
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