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Bayesian analysis of outlier problems using the Gibbs sampler
Authors:Isabella Verdinelli  Larry Wasserman
Affiliation:(1) Department of Statistics, University of Rome, Piazzale A. Moro, 5,00185 Rome, Italy;(2) Department of Statistics, Carnegie Mellon University, 15213 Pittsburgh, Pennsylvania, USA
Abstract:We consider the Bayesian analysis of outlier models. We show that the Gibbs sampler brings considerable conceptual and computational simplicity to the problem of calculating posterior marginals. Although other techniques for finding posterior marginals are available, the Gibbs sampling approach is notable for its ease of implementation. Allowing the probability of an outlier to be unknown introduces an extra parameter into the model but this turns out to involve only minor modification to the algorithm. We illustrate these ideas using a contaminated Gaussian distribution, at-distribution, a contaminated binomial model and logistic regression.
Keywords:Contaminated normal  Gibbs sampling  Monte Carlo  outliers  posterior marginals
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