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A NOTE ON THE DEMOGRAPHIC IMPACT OF CONTRACEPTION IN A MATHEMATICAL MODEL OF HUMAN REPRODUCTION
Authors:Norfleet W.  Rives Jr.
Affiliation:University of Delaware
Abstract:The application of mathematical models of human reproduction to the study of reproductive behaviour as a function of contraceptive behaviour was pioneered by Perrin and Sheps (1963). More recent work in this area continues to focus on an examination of the birth rate as the principal dependent variable. This note suggests an alternative procedure for studying the demographic impact of contraception through the analysis of birth intervals. A mathematical model is formulated for the waiting time between successive live births, and a procedure is described for incorporating into the model certain contraceptive parameters. A controlled experiment is then performed to determine the effect of these parameters on expected child spacing patterns.
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