人口转变的经济增长效应研究新进展：一个综述

关于人口转变对于经济增长的效应研究由来已久，但是研究大多只考虑了人口数量和人口增长率对于经济增长的效应。近二十年来，许多经济学家在揭示“东亚奇迹”和中国经济腾飞等一系列经济现象的原因时。发现了人口年龄结构对于经济增长的重要贡献，并提出了“人口红利”的概念以解释经济发展。本文将具体介绍近二十年来理论界对于人口转变影响经济增长的相关机制的研究以及经验分析。并对这些研究的政策含义和有待深入研究的问题作出简要评述。

New Research Progress on the Economic Growth Effect of Demographic Transition: a Summary

There have been lots of researches on the economic growth effects of demographic transition,however,many of which only investigate the effects of population quantity.In the recent 20 years,many economics found that the age structure of popu-lation contributed to economic growth and put forward "demographic dividend" when they researched "East Asia Miracle" and Chinese economic growth.The paper introduces the mechanisms which demographic transition influences economic growth and some empirical analysis.The paper also put forward several policy proposals and some problems requiring further study.