基于演化博弈的农民工返乡创业研究

在返乡农民工的创业决策过程中，存在着农民工与地方政府这两类博弈主体，为研究相关要素对返乡农民工创业问题中主体行为演化的影响，借助演化博弈理论，构建了返乡农民工与地方政府交互过程的演化模型，分析了特定情形下返乡农民工和地方政府行为交互系统的均衡点及其稳定性。研究发现：返乡农民工创业演化系统收敛于两种模式，随着系统相关参数的变动，系统收敛于不同模式的概率发生显著变化，通过调节相关参数可以优化返乡农民工创业路径的演化，引导系统朝着“理想”模式发展。

Study on the Pioneering of Migrant Workers' Returning Based on Evolutionary Game Theory

There are two types of game-agents, namely returned migrant workers and the local governments, in the entrepreneurial decision-making process of returned peasant laborers. In order to research the impact of some factors on the behavior of subjects, a game model on interaction between returned migrant workers and the local governments is constructed using the evolutionary game theory. Equilibrium points and the stability under a specific condition are discussed. The results show that the evolution path of the system converges to two modes, the converging probabilities change markedly when the related parameters alter. We can optimize the entrepreneurial route of returned migrant workers and lead the system towards the expected direction by adjusting the related parameters.