间接经济效益的波及效应和摄动效应分析 |
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引用本文: | 陈 宏 韩 轶. 间接经济效益的波及效应和摄动效应分析[J]. 管理科学, 2002, 5(4): 77-82 |
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作者姓名: | 陈 宏 韩 轶 |
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作者单位: | 国防科技大学系统工程研究所,长沙,410073 |
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基金项目: | 国家自然科学基金资助项目(70071046). |
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摘 要: | 通过对经济系统中经济对象博弈行为的分析, 提出用基于多智能体的整体建模仿真方法对经济中的多人混合博弈问题进行仿真分析, 利用sw arm 仿真软件平台生成博弈模型—GAM E, 并对模型进行了描述和定义, 最后基于模型的仿真结果研究分析了博弈对象的数量、博弈半径和博弈规则对博弈结果的影响.
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关 键 词: | 整体建模仿真方法 多人混合博弈 博弈半径 |
文章编号: | 1007-9807(2002)04-0077-06 |
修稿时间: | 2000-12-04 |
Study on r ipple effect and perturbation effect of indirect economyeffect |
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Abstract: | Bo th the variance of direct econom y effect and the variance of the t ran sm ission facto r of e2conom y effect can cau se the variance of the gro ss indirect econom y effect of nat ional econom y. Thefo rm er is called as ripp le effect; the lat ter is called as pertu rbat ion effect. The parper discu ssed andstudied the two effect s. A cco rding to the data of the Sichuan p rovince inpu t2ou tpu t f rom 1987 to1997, the ripp le effect s and pertu rbat ion effect s are studied. A t the sam e t im e, a new w ay called aslocat ion chart by w h ich w e can catego ry the ripp le effect s of individual division s is pu t fo rw ard. A f terstudying, w e can cam e to a conclu sion: in the differen t phases of the ten years, the m ain facto rs thatst im u lated the grow th of gro ss nat ional econom y effect are differen t. In the p rophase, them ain facto ris pertu rbat ion effect; in the m etaphase, is ripp le effect; in the anaphase, is the ou tcom e of the ripp leeffect and pertu rbat ion effect. |
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Keywords: | indirect econom y effect t ran sm ission facto r direct econom y effect ripp le effect per2tu rbat ion effect |
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