我国地区收入差距、流动人口与 刑事犯罪率的实证研究

地区收入差距的不断扩大与刑事犯罪率的快速攀升,是我国社会转型期出现的两个重要社会现象。地区收入差距所引发的跨省流动人口又与刑事犯罪率显著正相关,因此,控制流动人口因素是准确测度地区收入差距与刑事犯罪率相互关系不可忽视的问题。通过分解跨省流动人口方法,可以解决两者存在的共线性问题。当某地区居民收入水平每高于全国平均水平 1个百分点,则该地区刑事犯罪率将下降0 .44-0 .49个百分点,上述负相关关系在1%水平上显著。该系数远大于城乡收入差距的相关系数,表明在诸多收入差距因素中,地区收入差距是影响我国刑事犯罪率的最主要因素,上述结论在一系列稳健性检验中均成立。

An Empirical Study on China's Regional Income Inequality , Floating Population and Criminal Offense Rate

The increasingly expanding regional income inequality and rapidly increasing criminal offense rate are two important social phenomena in China's transition period. The inter-provincial floating population caused by regional income inequality is significantly and positively correlated with criminal offense rate. Controlling the floating population has therefore become a factor which cannot be neglected in measuring the relationship between regional income inequality and the criminal offense rate accurately. ...