基于灰色理论的房地产市场需求影响因素研究——以北京市为例

房地产业是国民经济的重要部门,其兴衰直接关系着国民经济的兴衰。近年来,我国房地产领域出现了一系列问题:房价上涨较快,商品房空置量增加,政府每一轮的调控只能短时间抑制房价,随后又会出现不同程度的上涨。为此,文章基于灰色关联度模型对北京市房地产需求影响因素以及影响程度进行了分析,得出各需求影响因素相对重要性依次是:北京市人口总数、城镇人均居住面积、经济适用房竣工面积、消费价格指数、人均可支配收入、商品房销售价格、GDP,从而为房地产的良性发展提供参考。

Analysis of the factors affecting the demands in real estate market based on the Grey Theory-taking Beijing as an example

Real estate is an important sector of the national economy,which is directly related to the rise and fall of the national economy.Recently,China's real estate has witnessed series of contradictions and problems:Firstly,the price and vacant housing increase at an alarming rate;Secondly,the government's every round of the regulation and control policy in a short time only curb property prices,accompanied by different degrees of price rise.Therefore,this paper,based on the grey correlation model,is to analyze the impact degree of Beijing's real estate demand factors.In addition,this paper also enumerates the importance of factors,ranging from the most to the least important in its order,namely the total amount of residents,the average living area per capita,completed area of affordable housing,consumer price index,disposable income per capita,market price of housings,the gross domestic production,which in order to provide suggestions for promoting healthy development in real estate market.