An integrated system for demographic estimation from two age distributions |
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Authors: | Samuel H. Preston |
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Affiliation: | 1. Population Studies Center, University of Pennsylvania, 19104, Philadelphia, Pennsylvania
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Abstract: | This paper presents a simple method for estimating a birth rate and a level of mortality for an intercensal period. The birth rate is estimated from the intercept of a line fitted to data and the level of mortality from the slope of that line. The formula that is developed is based upon a recent generalization of stable population relations. An estimate of childhood mortality level is an optional but significant piece of additional input. An important by-product of the procedure is an estimate of the true age distribution. |
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