基于方法集化的动态组合评价方法研究

为了解决多种动态评价方法评价结论非一致性问题,提出动态组合评价方法。给出关于可比动态评价方法集和相容动态评价方法集的定义,并运用模糊聚类分析方法确定相容动态评价方法集;然后以相容动态评价方法集为基础确定可能的组合评价集,建立评价方法集化模型,寻找一个最满意的组合评价,并对该评价结论进行相容性检验。最后用一个实例说明本研究实际应用上的有效性。基于方法集化的动态组合评价方法对解决多种动态评价方法评价结论非一致性问题提供了思路,是综合评价方法研究的有益补充,可以利用该方法进行应用研究。

A Dynamic Combinational Evaluation Method Based on Integrated Methods Set

In this paper, dynamic combinational evaluation method is proposed, in order to get rid of the inconsistency among evaluation results from different dynamic evaluation methods. The concept of compatible dynamic methods is defined in this paper, as well as the concept of comparable dynamic methods. A set of compatible dynamic methods are collected by using the fuzzy clustering method. A set of dynamic combinational evaluations are obtained based on the compatible dynamic methods. Then an integrated model for the evaluation methods is established to find the best dynamic combinational evaluation. The compatibility of the evaluation result is validated. In practice, a dynamic combinational evaluation is conducted on the independent innovation capabilities of the provinces in east China. The source data of the evaluation indicators for the regional technological innovation capacities come from Chinese statistics yearbook, Chinese science and technology statistics yearbook, and the web site of People's Republic of China Ministry of Science and Technology which provides a database with the major indicators for the science and technology in China. An instance, shows the findings of this work are practically effective. The method proposed in this study provides an idea to deal with the inconsistency among evaluation results, complements the comprehensive evaluation method and facilitates the researches in related fields.