SMOOTH TRANSITION AUTOREGRESSIVE MODELS — A SURVEY OF RECENT DEVELOPMENTS |
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Authors: | Dick van Dijk Timo Ter svirta Philip Hans Franses |
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Affiliation: | a Econometric Institute, Erasmus University, Rotterdamb Department of Economic Statistics, Stockholm School of Economics, Stockholm |
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Abstract: | This paper surveys recent developments related to the smooth transition autoregressive (STAR) time series model and several of its variants. We put emphasis on new methods for testing for STAR nonlinearity, model evaluation, and forecasting. Several useful extensions of the basic STAR model, which concern multiple regimes, time-varying non-linear properties, and models for vector time series, are also reviewed. |
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Keywords: | Regime-switching models Time series model specification Model evaluation Forecasting Impulse response analysis JEL Classification: C22 C52 E24 |
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