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SMOOTH TRANSITION AUTOREGRESSIVE MODELS — A SURVEY OF RECENT DEVELOPMENTS
Authors:Dick van Dijk   Timo Ter  svirta  Philip Hans Franses
Affiliation: a Econometric Institute, Erasmus University, Rotterdamb Department of Economic Statistics, Stockholm School of Economics, Stockholm
Abstract:This paper surveys recent developments related to the smooth transition autoregressive (STAR) time series model and several of its variants. We put emphasis on new methods for testing for STAR nonlinearity, model evaluation, and forecasting. Several useful extensions of the basic STAR model, which concern multiple regimes, time-varying non-linear properties, and models for vector time series, are also reviewed.
Keywords:Regime-switching models  Time series model specification  Model evaluation  Forecasting  Impulse response analysis  JEL Classification: C22   C52   E24
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