中国农业碳排放研究回顾、评述与展望

发展低碳农业,提高农业应对气候变化的能力,是促进农业可持续发展的重要途径。在回顾我国农业碳排放问题研究的基础上,对其主要论点进行了归纳与简要述评,指出了当前研究存在的一些不足:以实证定量研究为主,缺少理论分析与概念阐述;测算体系未完全形成,测算结果差异较大;研究视野带有局限性,经济学思想植入不够;对策建议多空泛而谈,缺少针对性与可行性验证。进而,提出了今后4个值得探讨的研究视角:科学整合现有测算体系,编制中国农业碳排放数据库;广泛引入经济学理论与方法,多视角探讨农业碳排放与农业发展间的关系;强化农户碳行为方式研究,注重微观层面的制度设计与优化;理论联系实际,宏微观有机结合,构建差异化的农业碳减排政策体系。

Research Review,Comment and Prospect of China＇s Agricultural Carbon Emissions

Abstract Developing low-carbon agriculture and improving agricultural ability to cope with climate change is an important approach to promote sustainable development of agriculture. Based on the review of China＇ s agricultural carbon emissions, this paper summarizes and briefly reviews some major argu- ments and points out some shortcomings of current researches. Firstly, the research is mainly quantity- oriented and theoretical analysis and elaborated concepts are quite short;secondly, measurement system is not fully formed, and estimation results are quite different; thirdly, all current researches presemeu have some limitations in the research perspectives, and they are rarely considered from the economic per- spective; finally, most countermeasures and suggestions are quite vague, which are short of relevance and feasibility of verification. Therefore, this paper proposes four future research perspectives. First, it is nec- essary to scientifically integrate the existing measurement system and compile Chinese agricultural car- bon emissions database; secondly, economic theory and methods should be widely introduced and rela- tionship between agricultural carbon emissions and agricultural development from different angles should be studied;thirdly,it is also necessary to strengthen the researches on farmers~ carbon behavior and pay attention to the design optimization of the micro-level system; finally, in order to construct the differentiated agricultural carbon reduction policy system, it＇s also essential to combine theory with practice and make macrovisual study and microscopic study together.