| 2020年光伏及风电产业前景预测与展望 |
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| 引用本文： | 吕鑫,祁雨霏,董馨阳,赵紫怡,董维佳.2020年光伏及风电产业前景预测与展望[J].北京理工大学学报(社会科学版),2020,22(2):20-25. |
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| 作者姓名： | 吕鑫 祁雨霏 董馨阳 赵紫怡 董维佳 |
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| 作者单位： | 1. 北京理工大学 管理与经济学院 能源与环境政策研究中心, 北京 100081; |
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| 基金项目： | 国家自然科学基金项目（71704186，71521002） |
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| 摘 要： | 通过回顾2019年光伏及风电产业链发展情况及分析2020年影响产业发展的政策、需求、供给与技术创新等四方面因素，指出2020年光伏及风电产业景气度均呈向上趋势，平价上网与技术突破双重助力产业降本增效。光伏产业整合提速，技术迭代加速企业优胜劣汰，市场竞争格局日益稳定；陆上风电进入抢装周期，海上风电规模化发展，市场需求旺盛，但订单多向龙头企业聚集，强者恒强局面显现。
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| 关 键 词： | 光伏及风电产业 政策调整 技术创新 |
| 收稿时间： | 2020/2/17 0:00:00 |
Outlook and Prospect of the Photovoltaic and Wind Power Industry in 2020 |
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| Institution: | 1. Center for Energy and Environmental Policy Research, School of Management and Economics, Beijing Institute of Technology, Beijing 100081, China;2. Institute of World Economics and Politics, Chinese Academy of Social Sciences, Beijing 100732, China |
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| Abstract: | By reviewing the development of the photovoltaic and wind power industry chain in 2019 and analyzing the four factors (policy,demand,supply and technological innovation) that affect the industrial development in 2020,this paper holds that the photovoltaic and wind power industry will flourish in 2020,grid parity and technological breakthroughs will contribute to cost reduction and efficiency improvement. The integration of the photovoltaic industry has accelerated. Technological upgrading leads to the survival of the fittest,and the competition in photovoltaic market comes into stable; Onshore wind power enters the rush-installation cycle,and offshore wind power develops on a large scale. Although there is a strong market demand,orders are concentrated to leading enterprises,and enterprises with better comprehensive strength will be more outstanding in the future. |
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| Keywords: | photovoltaic and wind power industry policy adjustment technological innovation |
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