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中国财政支出结构优化与经济增长关系的实证分析
引用本文:国涓,陈蜀豫.中国财政支出结构优化与经济增长关系的实证分析[J].大连海事大学学报(社会科学版),2006,5(3):69-72.
作者姓名:国涓  陈蜀豫
作者单位:1. 东北财经大学,数量经济系,辽宁,大连,116025;大连理工大学,管理学院,辽宁,大连,116024
2. 东北财经大学,数量经济系,辽宁,大连,116025
基金项目:国家社会科学基金资助项目(05BJY013)
摘    要:运用中国1978-2004年的年度数据,建立一个多变量协整与误差修正模型,对中国财政支出结构与经济增长的短期和长期关系进行实证分析,实证结果表明中国生产性财政支出、非生产性支出与经济增长之间存在长期的均衡稳定关系,并在此基础上为财政支出的调整提供一些政策依据。

关 键 词:中国  财政支出  结构优化  协整检验  误差修正模型
文章编号:1671-7031(2006)03-0069-04
修稿时间:2006年3月30日

Empirical analysis on the relationship between fiscal expenditure structure optimization and the economy growth
GUO Juan,CHEN Shu-yu.Empirical analysis on the relationship between fiscal expenditure structure optimization and the economy growth[J].Journal of Dalian Maritime University:Social Science Edition,2006,5(3):69-72.
Authors:GUO Juan  CHEN Shu-yu
Abstract:Considering the eleventh five-year plan,fiscal expenditures must be made some corresponding adjustments on the direction and the quantity to coordinate the relevant measures.Using the year-data from 1978 to 2004 to establish a multivariable co-integration and error correction model,the short-term and long-term relationships between economic growth and composition of fiscal expenditure were analyzed in this paper.The results indicated that there was an equilibrium and stable relationship among the productive expenditure,unproductive expenditure and economic growth.In the long run,non-productive expenditure had a significant positive impact on economic growth.Then,on the basis of the results,some policy foundations were suggested for the adjustments of fiscal expenditures.
Keywords:China  fiscal expenditure  the structure optimization  co-integration test  error correction model
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