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Testing the Granger Noncausality Hypothesis in Stationary Nonlinear Models of Unknown Functional Form
Authors:Anne Péguin-Feissolle  Birgit Strikholm  Timo Teräsvirta
Affiliation:1. GREQAM, Centre de la Vieille Charité , Marseille , France;2. Bank of Estonia , Tallinn , Estonia;3. Department of Economics and Business , CREATES, Aarhus University , Aarhus C , Denmark
Abstract:In this article, we propose a general method for testing the Granger noncausality hypothesis in stationary nonlinear models of unknown functional form. These tests are based on a Taylor expansion of the nonlinear model around a given point in the sample space. We study the performance of our tests by a Monte Carlo experiment and compare these to the most widely used linear test. Our tests appear to be well-sized and have reasonably good power properties.
Keywords:Granger causality  Hypothesis testing  Nonlinearity
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