Report on a multiple regression method for making population estimates |
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Authors: | William O’Hare |
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Affiliation: | 1. Department of Management and Budget, State of Michigan, 48913, Lansing, Michigan 2. Department of Sociology, Michigan State University, 48824, East Lansing, Michigan
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Abstract: | ![]() A new method of making population estimates is introduced and contrasted to the standard ratio-correlation method. The new method, called the “difference-correlation method,” produced population estimates for the counties of Michigan which had a smaller mean percentage error than estimates produced by the ratio-correlation method. The differences of proportions which are used in the difference-correlation method will always have means of zero, while the ratios used in the ratio-correlation method have means which vary. Higher intercorrelations among the variables and increased temporal stability of the intercorrelations are two advantages of using differences rather than ratios. |
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