周期波动与需求不足--我国有效需求不足的系统分析

从短缺经济到相对过剩是我国经济发展的重大进步.我国需求不足是国内经济周期与世界经济周期共同作用的结果.形成需求不足的原因既有外部性的亚洲金融危机引起的出口下降,也有国内特定经济制度造成的投资和消费需求不足,而起决定作用的是长期计划经济和粗放式增长方式造成的经济低效率和居民低收入.应将宏观经济管理手段与制度创新相结合,加快实现两个转变,才能从根本上克服有效需求不足的问题.

Periodic Fluctuation and Insufficiency of Aggregate Demand: A Systematic Analysis of Insufficiency of Effective Aggregate Demand in China

It is an important progress for China to develop from shortage economy to that of comparative excess. Both domestic business cycle and economic fluctuation of the world have led to the insufficiency of aggregate de- mand in China's present economy. That, in turn, is resulted from decline of export caused by the Asian financial crisis, decline of investment and effective consumption demand caused by our out-of-date economic system.The decisive reasons for the insufficiency are low efficiency and low income of Chinese citizens caused by the long period of central planned economy and the extensive economic growth mode. We therefore should combine macro-economic management measures with institutional creation.