一种新型商品定价模型与价格安全指数评估体系

本文提出了偏态分布与偏态过程的概念及其数学表达式,该分布与过程适用于对各种商品价格变化的分析和描述;给出了反映商品内在价格、市场价格、内在风险和市场风险基本关系的数量模型,该模型可用于分析和实现包括现货、股票、期货、期权在内的各类商品、衍生商品的逻辑化市场定价及市场风险度量;设计了针对成本价格、市场价格和综合价格的安全指数,可对社会、经济、金融、科技、教育等各行业的商品价格及发展状况进行安全性测算和评估。

A New Kind of Pricing Model for Commodity and Estimating Indexes System for Price Security

In this paper, the concept and the expression of the partial distribution and the partial process are put forward. Bv them, the variations of commodity price can be described, analyzed, and researched. The relations of the cost price, the market price, the risk of cost price and the risk of market price of commodity are advanced in analytic expressions, which can be applied to pricing and to measuring the risks of the spots, the securities, the futures and the options in market. The Security Indexes are designed in analytic expressions. So we can use them to measure and evaluate the development security and investment security in the society, the economy, the finance, and so on.