从农产品价格保护程度和市场整合看入世对中国农业的影响

一、引言在过去２０年的改革过程中 ,农民收入稳定上升 ,数以亿计的人摆脱了贫困 (世界银行 ,２０００)。但是 ,就总体情况而言 ,农民收入要低于城镇人口的收入。经济发展与转型曾经带来了中国农村２０年的进步 ,同时也遗留下来一些诸如收入分配不均的问题。现在国内政策又在进一步推进贸易与投资自由化 ,从过去２０年的改革经验 ,我们不难推测 ,这一努力将同样带来积极与消极两方面的影响。一方面 ,贸易自由化可以带来效率的提高、新技术以及提升中国经济增长的机会。另一方面 ,市场与投资自由化将在所难免地加剧中国农村已经出现的一些消…

The Consideration of the Impact of Entry into WTO upon China's Agriculture:Taken from the Aspect of the Degree of Protecting Produce Prices and Market Integration

The objective of the study made in this paper is for us to better fathom how WTO will affect China's agriculture.To attain this, we have two concrete tasks to fulfill. The first one is the estimation of the degree in which, just before China's entry into WTO, the policy was twisted of China's staple produce- the degree of protection for the price of agricultural products, which represents the scale or greatness of impact upon China's produce markets after China's entry into WTO. The second one is the estimation of the degree of integration or concordance of regional markets or the China market as a whole, which exemplifies how the impact of China' s entry into WTO upon China will involve her various regions - the estimation enabling us to better comprehend which regions and which groups of rural population will be likely affected by China's entry into WTO. To reach the above-mentioned objective, we construct this paper as follows: first, it will introduce the main policies and measures that have a bearing on the spur of China's present agriculture; second, after a brief of data that we will use, it will discuss the nominal protection rate we have calculated of the prices of China' s main agricultural products, followed by an analysis of both the integration degree of the produce market and how a price in a region transfers to another one; finally, it will discuss the conclusions and implications of our study.