基于产业链视角的石油动员潜力构成要素研究

石油动员潜力是影响石油动员能力的基础性因素。石油产业链的瓶颈环节直接影响石油动员能力与石油供应能力的有效发挥。为了明晰石油动员潜力的来源,在分析石油产业链构成的基础上,发现石油动员潜力主要来源于石油企业超常生产能力、储备、石油资源进口能力和调整石油资源用途而增加的供给能力四个方面。其中,石油企业产能的提高需要产业链所有环节的紧密配合,储备类型、储备结构、储备规模等因素影响石油储备能力,石油资源进口能力受成本、进口量、时间以及运输安全等因素的制约,石油消费管制的范围、方式、程序等直接影响着管制工作的效率。建议从加强石油勘探开发、扩大对外合作,完善国家石油储备体系,加强石油运输保障能力,建立石油消费管制领导机构、完善相关法律法规几方面来提高我国石油动员潜力。

Research on the Elements of Petroleum Mobilization Potential from the Perspective of Industry Chain

Petroleum mobilization potential is the basic factor that affects petroleum mobilization capability.The bottlenecks of petroleum industry chain directly influence the capability of petroleum mobilization and petroleum supply.In order to clarify the sources and influencing factors of petroleum mobilization potential,after analyzing the structure of petroleum industry chain,we find that petroleum mobilization potential mainly comes from the extraordinary production capacity of petroleum enterprises,petroleum reserves,petroleum import capacity and the increased supply capacity by adjusting the use of petroleum resource.In order to increase Petroleum enterprises’ production,all aspects of the industry chain need to work closely.Reserve type,structure and size affect petroleum reserve capacity.Petroleum import capability is affected by cost,time and transportation safety.The scope,modalities and procedures of petroleum consumption control directly have an effect on the work’s efficiency.Finally,four policy recommendations were proposed to enhance petroleum mobilization potential:strengthen petroleum exploration and development,expand cooperation with foreign countries,improve the national petroleum reserve system,strengthen the capability of petroleum transport security,establish a leading agency and improve relevant laws and regulations.