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贝叶斯推理主观性探析——对无差别原则和不变性的考察
引用本文:程献礼,牛翠波. 贝叶斯推理主观性探析——对无差别原则和不变性的考察[J]. 太原理工大学学报(社会科学版), 2012, 30(5): 45-49
作者姓名:程献礼  牛翠波
作者单位:1. 南开大学哲学院,天津,300071
2. 华南师范大学政治与行政学院,广东广州,510631
摘    要:作为当代发展最为迅猛的一种科学研究方法——贝叶斯主义方法,尽管已经深入到了科学研究的方方面面,但其先天的“先验”、“主观性”等标签使其陷入了不必要的纷争之中.通过贝叶斯对无差别原则和不变性原理的考察,发现先验概率的无约束即主观性,是贝叶斯主义的一个优点,更重要的是该主观性的产生是由严格的“推理机”——归纳逻辑所定义出的.

关 键 词:推理机  参照先验  无差别原则  贝叶斯推理

On the Subjectivity of Bayesian Inference through Analysis of the Principle of Indifference and Invariance
CHENG Xian-li , NIU Cui-bo. On the Subjectivity of Bayesian Inference through Analysis of the Principle of Indifference and Invariance[J]. Journal of Taiyuan University of Technology(Social Sciences Edition), 2012, 30(5): 45-49
Authors:CHENG Xian-li    NIU Cui-bo
Affiliation:1.Faculty of Philosophy,Nankai University,Tianjin 300071,China; 2.Faculty of Politics and Administration,South China Normal University,Guangzhou Guangdong 510631,China)
Abstract:The Bayesian Inference,as a contemporary booming scientific research method extended has reach into every field of the scientific research.But its properties of being transcendental and subjective have almost got it into some unnecessary trouble.It is found in the study on the Principle of Indifference and Invariance that the Bayesian inference has its subjectivity as an advantage.What’s more,its subjectivity is defined by the strict inference machine the inductive logic.
Keywords:inference machine  reference transcendentalism  the Principle of Indifference  Bayesian Inference
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