网络分析视角下中国与中东欧国家的贸易竞争与贸易互补关系研究

运用社会网络分析方法（Social Network Analysis）研究2005至2017年中国与中东欧国家的贸易竞争与贸易互补关系及动态变化。研究表明：（1）2005至2017年，中国对中东欧国家货物出口成倍高于进口，在经济体和产品结构上均呈现出高度集中化趋势，但中国与中东欧国家之间各种贸易关系向少数国家集中的趋势越来越弱；（2）中国在中东欧国家的贸易互补关系中占据主导地位，具有强势进出口能力。虽然，波黑、阿尔巴尼亚、马其顿进出口能力相对较弱，但却为中国提供了有利的出口空间；（3）中国在中东欧竞争关系网络中并不处于中心位置，但随着时间变化，与各国的贸易竞争关系越来越激烈。然而，从总体上看，贸易互补大于贸易竞争，因此中国与中东欧国家之间存在较大的经贸合作空间。

AStudy on Trade Competition and Complementary Relations Between China and Central & Eastern European Countries: From the Perspective of Social Network Analysis

The study investigates trade competition, complementarity relations, and dynamic trends among China and Central & Eastern European (CEE) countries using social network analysis. The main findings are as follows. First, from 2005 to 2017, China''s exports to CEE countries have been significantly more than the imports, which have shown surplus in commodity trade. It has also shown a high concentration trend in both economy and product structure. However, trade relations with the trend of focusing on a few countries have become increasingly weak. Second, China dominates the trade complementarity network and manifests the strong import and export capacity. Bosnia and Herzegovina, Albania and Macedonia with relatively small trade volume, nevertheless, provide a favorable export space for China. Third, although China is not the core center of the trade competition network, trade competition between China and CEE countries is increasing over time. However, trade complementarity outweighs competition. Therefore, there is enough space for economic and trade cooperation between China and CEE countries.