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关于扩大内需的研究
引用本文:林兆木. 关于扩大内需的研究[J]. 北京大学学报(哲学社会科学版), 1999, 0(5)
作者姓名:林兆木
作者单位:国家计委宏观经济研究院!北京100824
摘    要:从总体上看 ,内需是我国经济增长的基本动力。处在工业化、市场化、现代化进程中的我国 ,扩大内需的潜力很大。当前强调扩大内需具有特殊的重要意义。需求不足、通货紧缩的原因很复杂 ,既有总量的因素 ,也有结构的因素 ;既有需求的原因 ,也有供给的原因 ;既有国内原因 ,也有国外原因。应采取有力的政策措施防止通货紧缩进一步发展。用增发国债筹集的资金增加投资 ,尤其是增加技术改造投入 ,并启动民间投资 ,把扩大投资和结构调整结合起来具有重要意义。我国最终消费率和居民消费率持续降低 ,今后扩大消费需求有很大潜力。近期应着力提高城乡居民特别是中低收入人群的收入 ,并降低其对改革支出的预期。中长期应对产业结构和消费结构进行双向调整 ,加大调整收入分配结构的力度 ,并逐步消除城乡二元结构 ,从根本上拓宽我国消费需求增长的基础

关 键 词:通货紧缩  增加投资  促进消费

On Expanding Internal Demands
LIN Zhao|mu. On Expanding Internal Demands[J]. Journal of Peking University(Humanities and Social Sciences), 1999, 0(5)
Authors:LIN Zhao|mu
Abstract:Internal demands are the fundamental motive force for China's economic growth. In the process of industrialization and market|oriented reform, China has great potentials for expanding internal demands. The reasons for insufficient demands and deflation are very complicated: total amount and structure; demand and supply; and domestic and international conditions. Effective measures should be taken to prevent the further worsening of deflation. China's rate of ultimate consumption and rate of resident consumption have been decreasing all the time, so there is great potential for the expansion of consumer demand. At present, efforts should be made to increase the income of urban residents, especially those in the middle and lower income bracket, and to lessen their anticipation of extra expense due to reform.
Keywords:deflation  increased investment  encouraging consumption
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