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Exact inference in contingency tables via stochastic approximation Monte Carlo
Institution:1. Department of Informational Statistics, Korea University, 2511 Sejong-ro, Sejong-city, 339-700, South Korea;2. Department of Statistics, University of Seoul, Seoul 130-743, South Korea;3. Risk Model Validation Team, Woori Bank, Seoul 100-792, South Korea
Abstract:Monte Carlo methods for the exact inference have received much attention recently in complete or incomplete contingency table analysis. However, conventional Markov chain Monte Carlo, such as the Metropolis–Hastings algorithm, and importance sampling methods sometimes generate the poor performance by failing to produce valid tables. In this paper, we apply an adaptive Monte Carlo algorithm, the stochastic approximation Monte Carlo algorithm (SAMC; Liang, Liu, & Carroll, 2007), to the exact test of the goodness-of-fit of the model in complete or incomplete contingency tables containing some structural zero cells. The numerical results are in favor of our method in terms of quality of estimates.
Keywords:Complete or incomplete contingency table  Exact inference  Structural zero cells  Importance sampling  Markov chain Monte Carlo  Stochastic approximation Monte Carlo
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