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Bayesian point null hypothesis testing via the posterior likelihood ratio
Authors:Murray Aitkin  Richard J. Boys  Tom Chadwick
Affiliation:(1) School of Mathematics and Statistics, University of Newcastle, UK
Abstract:
This paper gives an exposition of the use of the posterior likelihood ratio for testing point null hypotheses in a fully Bayesian framework. Connections between the frequentist P-value and the posterior distribution of the likelihood ratio are used to interpret and calibrate P-values in a Bayesian context, and examples are given to show the use of simple posterior simulation methods to provide Bayesian tests of common hypotheses.
Keywords:likelihood ratio  point null hypothesis  posterior distribution  Bayes factor
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