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东亚货币合作:人民币能够成为主导货币吗?——基于Finger-Kreinin指数的新证据
引用本文:苏治,赵然.东亚货币合作:人民币能够成为主导货币吗?——基于Finger-Kreinin指数的新证据[J].哈尔滨工业大学学报(社会科学版),2012(2):101-107.
作者姓名:苏治  赵然
作者单位:1. 中央财经大学统计学院,北京,100081
2. 中国人民大学金融与财政学院,北京,100872
基金项目:国家自然科学基金青年项目,教育部人文社会科学研究青年基金项目
摘    要:2008年金融海啸爆发后,欧元区和美元区频频发生危机,对国际货币体系的诟病日益增多。基于最优货币区理论的最新进展,可以认为:"贸易一体化程度"应该成为判断人民币是否能成为区域主导货币的关键因素。进一步计算东亚各国与中国和日本的Finger-Kreinin出口相似度指数及贸易依存度指数,从贸易"相似"和"依存"的视角亦能得出人民币成为东亚货币合作主导货币具有可能性和必要性的结论。

关 键 词:国际货币体系  最优货币区  人民币国际化  东亚货币合作

The Monetary Cooperation in East Asia: Can RMB Become the Dominant Currency? --Based on the New Evidence of Finger Kreinin Index
SU Zhi,ZHAO Ran.The Monetary Cooperation in East Asia: Can RMB Become the Dominant Currency? --Based on the New Evidence of Finger Kreinin Index[J].Journal of Harbin Institute of Technology(Social Sciences Edition),2012(2):101-107.
Authors:SU Zhi  ZHAO Ran
Institution:1.School of Statistics,Central University of Finance and Economics,Beijing 100081,China;2.School of Finance,Renmin University of China,Beijing 100872,China)
Abstract:After the outbreak of the financial tsunami in 2008,the crisis in the euro and dollar area happened frequently and the international monetary system is increasing criticized.Based on the theory of optimum currency areas of recent advantages,this paper puts forward "trade integration degree" should determine whether RMB can become dominant regional currency key factors,and further calculates the East Asian countries and China and Japan’s Finger-Kreinin export similarity index and trade dependence index and analyzed the possibility and necessity that RMB becomes dominant regional currency in the monetary cooperation of East Asia currency from the perspective of trade :similarity" and "dependence".
Keywords:international monetary system  optimal currency area  internationalization of RMB  mone-tary cooperation in East Asia
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