中国出口贸易与农民收入结构关系的实证分析

在经济全球化、贸易一体化的今天,一个国家的经济发展离不开贸易因素,同样农民收入水平的变动与贸易也是分不开的。基于1978—2008年出口贸易对农民收入结构的影响（即家庭经营收入和工资性收入）的实证结果表明：出口贸易与农民家庭经营收入之间呈负相关关系,但会推动工资性收入的增长。因此,在农民农业收入不稳定的情况下,应鼓励扩大农产品出口,加大新型农村金融机构对乡镇企业出口的扶持,确保农民工资性收入的稳定增长。

Relationship between export trade and the structure of peasants' income in China

The key to solving the problems of villagers, countryside and agriculture aims at promoting the level of peasant＇s income. A country＇s economic development is connected with trade factor deeply under the economic globalization and trade integration tendency, also the change of peasant＇s income level is inseparable with trade. Using the date from 1978 to 2008, this paper empirically analyzes how export trade influnces peasant＇s income structure, namely, household operations income and wage income. The results show that there is a negative relationship between export trade and peasant＇s income from household operations, but it will promote the wage incom increasing.Hence, under the circumstances of peasant＇s income instability, the government should encourage to expand agricultural products export, and increase the support to township enterprises export from new type of rural financial institutions in order to ensure peasnat＇s wage income stable growth.