国际技术转移与我国技术进步的实证研究

国内外学术界对我国于1992年提出“以市场换技术”的开放政策的实际技术促进效果看法很不一致。为了对中国这一政策的技术促进效果进行实证研究,运用Engle-Granger协整关系检验法,选取描述我国整体技术进步的变量全要素生产率(TFP)和描述技术引进的变量——全国技术引进合同金额,来验证国际技术转移与我国整体技术进步之间是否存在长期的共同趋势,并建立误差修正模型来分析技术进步的短期波动情况。在得出肯定检验结果的基础上,根据我国的现实情况,分析结论并给出应该有选择地引进技术和提高我国企业对引进技术的适应能力

An Empirical Research of the Influence of International Technology Transfer on the Domestic Technology Progress

There have been academically controversial in understanding the effect of transferred technology for promoting domestic integrated technology progress (ITP) since the 1992 when the relevant opening policies have been carried out. The paper intends to prove whether there is a mutual growth trend in the long run between technology transfer and ITP in China by using Engle-Granger Co-integration Relationship Test, in which annual sum of technology introduction contracts was adopted as independent variable to characterize the technology transfer quantity, and total factors productivity as dependent variable to characterize ITP. Meantime, Error Correction Model was established to analyze the short fluctuation of technology progress. Based on the positive test result, conclusions were drawn out and some relevant practical suggestions that the international technology should be selectively introduced and the absorbability and adaptability of the transferred technology also should be improved were provided according to economic status of China.