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Adapting the Own Children Method to allow comparison of fertility between populations with different marriage regimes
Authors:Alice Reid  Hannaliis Jaadla  Eilidh Garrett  Kevin Schürer
Affiliation:1. University of Cambridge "ORCIDhttps://orcid.org/0000-0003-4713-2951;2. University of Cambridge;3. Tallinn University "ORCIDhttps://orcid.org/0000-0002-8569-347X;4. University of Essex "ORCIDhttps://orcid.org/0000-0001-5971-9675;5. University of Leicester "ORCIDhttps://orcid.org/0000-0003-0058-1821
Abstract:
The Own Children Method (OCM) is an indirect procedure for deriving age-specific fertility rates and total fertility from children living with their mothers at a census or survey. The method was designed primarily for the calculation of overall fertility, although there are variants that allow the calculation of marital fertility. In this paper we argue that the standard variants for calculating marital fertility can produce misleading results and require strong assumptions, particularly when applied to social or spatial subgroups. We present two new variants of the method for calculating marital fertility: the first of these allows for the presence of non-marital fertility and the second also permits the more robust calculation of rates for social subgroups of the population. We illustrate and test these using full-count census data for England and Wales in 1911.
Keywords:fertility  Own Children Method  marital fertility  total fertility  age-specific fertility rate  estimation  historical demography  England and Wales  census
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