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Tests for the variance parameter in the Fay–Herriot model
Authors:Y Marhuenda  D Morales  MC Pardo
Institution:1. Centro de Investigación Operativa, Universidad Miguel Hernández de Elche, Elche, Spain;2. Departamento de Estadística e Investigación Operativa I, Universidad Complutense de Madrid, Madrid, Spain
Abstract:The Fay–Herriot model is a linear mixed model that plays a relevant role in small area estimation (SAE). Under the SAE set-up, tools for selecting an adequate model are required. Applied statisticians are often interested on deciding if it is worthwhile to use a mixed effect model instead of a simpler fixed-effect model. This problem is not standard because under the null hypothesis the random effect variance is on the boundary of the parameter space. The likelihood ratio test and the residual likelihood ratio test are proposed and their finite sample distributions are derived. Finally, we analyse their behaviour under simulated scenarios and we also apply them to real data.
Keywords:Fay–Herriot model  small area estimation  zero variance component  likelihood ratio test  Monte Carlo simulation
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