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The use of Jeffreys priors for the Student-t distribution
Abstract:The Jeffreys-rule prior and the marginal independence Jeffreys prior are recently proposed in Fonseca et al. Objective Bayesian analysis for the Student-t regression model, Biometrika 95 (2008), pp. 325–333] as objective priors for the Student-t regression model. The authors showed that the priors provide proper posterior distributions and perform favourably in parameter estimation. Motivated by a practical financial risk management application, we compare the performance of the two Jeffreys priors with other priors proposed in the literature in a problem of estimating high quantiles for the Student-t model with unknown degrees of freedom. Through an asymptotic analysis and a simulation study, we show that both Jeffreys priors perform better in using a specific quantile of the Bayesian predictive distribution to approximate the true quantile.
Keywords:Jeffreys prior  probability-matching prior  quantile estimation  risk management  Student-t distribution  value at risk
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