Bias-reduced extreme quantile estimators of Weibull tail-distributions |
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Authors: | Jean Diebolt,Laurent Gardes,Sté phane Girard,Armelle Guillou |
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Affiliation: | 1. CNRS, Université de Marne-la-Vallée, Équipe d’Analyse et de Mathématiques Appliquées, 5, boulevard Descartes, Batiment Copernic, Champs-sur-Marne, 77454 Marne-la-Vallée Cedex 2, France;2. INRIA Rhône-Alpes, team Mistis, Inovallée, 655, av. de l’Europe, Montbonnot, 38334 Saint-Ismier cedex, France;3. Université Paris VI, Laboratoire de Statistique Théorique et Appliquée, Bo?ˆte 158, 175 rue du Chevaleret, 75013 Paris, France |
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Abstract: | In this paper, we consider the problem of estimating an extreme quantile of a Weibull tail-distribution. The new extreme quantile estimator has a reduced bias compared to the more classical ones proposed in the literature. It is based on an exponential regression model that was introduced in Diebolt et al. [2007. Bias-reduced estimators of the Weibull-tail coefficient. Test, to appear]. The asymptotic normality of the extreme quantile estimator is established. We also introduce an adaptive selection procedure to determine the number of upper order statistics to be used. A simulation study as well as an application to a real data set is provided in order to prove the efficiency of the above-mentioned methods. |
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Keywords: | 62G05 62G20 62G30 |
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