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Bias-reduced extreme quantile estimators of Weibull tail-distributions
Authors:Jean Diebolt,Laurent Gardes,Sté  phane Girard,Armelle Guillou
Affiliation:1. CNRS, Université de Marne-la-Vallée, Équipe d’Analyse et de Mathématiques Appliquées, 5, boulevard Descartes, Batiment Copernic, Champs-sur-Marne, 77454 Marne-la-Vallée Cedex 2, France;2. INRIA Rhône-Alpes, team Mistis, Inovallée, 655, av. de l’Europe, Montbonnot, 38334 Saint-Ismier cedex, France;3. Université Paris VI, Laboratoire de Statistique Théorique et Appliquée, Bo?ˆte 158, 175 rue du Chevaleret, 75013 Paris, France
Abstract:In this paper, we consider the problem of estimating an extreme quantile of a Weibull tail-distribution. The new extreme quantile estimator has a reduced bias compared to the more classical ones proposed in the literature. It is based on an exponential regression model that was introduced in Diebolt et al. [2007. Bias-reduced estimators of the Weibull-tail coefficient. Test, to appear]. The asymptotic normality of the extreme quantile estimator is established. We also introduce an adaptive selection procedure to determine the number of upper order statistics to be used. A simulation study as well as an application to a real data set is provided in order to prove the efficiency of the above-mentioned methods.
Keywords:62G05   62G20   62G30
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