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Prediction intervals for general balanced linear random models
Authors:T.Y. Lin  C.T. Liao
Affiliation:1. Department of Applied Mathematics, Feng Chia University, Taichung 40724, Taiwan;2. Division of Biometry, Institute of Agronomy, National Taiwan University, Taipei 10617, Taiwan
Abstract:
The main interest of prediction intervals lies in the results of a future sample from a previously sampled population. In this article, we develop procedures for the prediction intervals which contain all of a fixed number of future observations for general balanced linear random models. Two methods based on the concept of a generalized pivotal quantity (GPQ) and one based on ANOVA estimators are presented. A simulation study using the balanced one-way random model is conducted to evaluate the proposed methods. It is shown that one of the two GPQ-based and the ANOVA-based methods are computationally more efficient and they also successfully maintain the simulated coverage probabilities close to the nominal confidence level. Hence, they are recommended for practical use. In addition, one example is given to illustrate the applicability of the recommended methods.
Keywords:Generalized confidence interval   Generalized p  si28.gif"   overflow="  scroll"  >p-value   Variance component
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